WE ARE WINNING, Part 2
As exercise in program/project evaluation (and to calm my nerves as a citizen who feels under siege with this lockdown), I have analyzed the daily incidence of infected cases. And as a netizen, I have posted on my FB page a truncated table showing the declining infected rates, and crowed, WE ARE WINNING! The short analysis focused on the declining infection rates from the inflection on March 24. two days straight. I know, two days are too short a period to draw conclusions from, but as the lockdown and extended lockdown were already implemented, I thought should see some real trends. I immediately received comments from a high school classmate who was (is?) a VP for promotions in one of the biggest services group in the country. I also got comments, also almost instantly, from former college students who are now professors, and government consultants on their own. The most incisive of all their comments was that the data set from which the analysis proceeded is too small to draw